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Analytics and Economic Modeling

The Institute conducts economic analysis, modeling, and forecasting at the national, sectoral, regional, and international levels. It is the only institution in Ukraine holding an exclusive license for GTAP (Global Trade Analysis Project — the globally recognized database of input–output tables and computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. This enables the Institute to perform quantitative assessments of the impacts of trade policy changes, tariff adjustments, and international trade agreements with internationally recognized accuracy.

Key Areas of Analytical Activity:

  • Trade policy modeling (Free Trade Agreements, customs tariffs, and CBAM)

  • Analysis of the manufacturing sector and import substitution potential

  • Research on trade and economic cooperation with the European Union, the United States, and the G7 countries

  • Financial and economic impact assessments of draft legislation

  • Analysis of international best practices and development of policy recommendations for Ukraine

Selected Completed Research Projects:

  • Revision of the EU–Ukraine Association Agreement

  • Assessment of the impact of CBAM on Ukraine’s economy

  • Analysis of the Ukraine–Türkiye Free Trade Agreement

  • Identification of strategic priorities for deepening Ukraine–EU relations in the context of EU candidate status

  • White Paper on the Development of the Dairy Industry

  • Development of a methodology for assessing the impact of aligning Ukrainian legislation with EU law

Legislative Initiatives Based on the Institute’s Research:

  • Moratorium on the export of unprocessed roundwood

  • Increase in export duties on ferrous scrap metal

  • Local content requirements in public procurement

  • Establishment of the Export Credit Agency (ECA)

  • Tax and financial incentives for industrial parks

  • Investment compensation through tax incentives